3.1 Climate services and climate information sources

Global climate indicators

When people talk about climate change, they often focus on the global average surface temperature. It’s an important measure—but it’s not the only one. Climate includes long-term weather patterns in a specific area, and changes affect more than just temperature. Oceans, air, ice, and even the chemical makeup of our atmosphere all play a role.

The Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), part of the WMO, has defined more than 50 ECVs that critically contribute to the characterization of Earth’s climate. The ECVs were identified based on relevance, feasibility and cost-effectiveness to support climate research, modelling and assessments. They are categorized in the following way:

  • Atmosphere: variables related to surface, upper atmosphere and atmosphere composition, such as precipitation, surface pressures, surface temperature, clouds, aerosols, ozone etc.
  • Land: variables related to hydrology, cryosphere, biology, as well as the human use of natural resources; they include, river discharge, glaciers, permafrost, anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, among others.
  • Ocean: variables related to the physical, biogeochemical and biological conditions of the oceans; they include sea level, sea surface temperature, nutrients and marine habitats, among others.

Each of these ECVs is regularly monitored and assessed, and can be described and communicated in numerical terms.

While ECVs track how the climate itself is changing, Climate Impact Indicators (CIIs) show how these changes are affecting our daily lives. These indicators measure the real-world effects of climate change on people and ecosystems, like:

  • The number of extreme heat days
  • Frequency of droughts or floods
  • Shifts in rainfall patterns.

 

CIIs help us understand the consequences of climate change in specific regions or sectors, like health, agriculture, or urban planning.

To understand the “why” behind those impacts, we turn to Climate Impact-Drivers (CIDs). These are the physical climate factors—like heat, cold, drought, and storms—that cause changes in the environment. They’re the forces behind the effects we observe. For example:

More heatwaves = more wildfires or heat-related illnesses

More intense rainfall = flooding or landslides

The IPCC has identified 33 CIDs across 7 categories: heat, cold, wet, drought, wind/storm, snow/ice, and coastal. Knowing what drives change helps us build better strategies to adapt and respond.

Think of it in this way:

CIIs = What’s happening (e.g., more heatwaves, floods)

CIDs = Why it’s happening (e.g., rising temperatures, changing rainfall)

We need both to fully understand climate change. CIIs show the impact. CIDs explain the cause. Together, they help us plan, prepare, and protect our communities.

Climate data sources:

Climate data can take different forms and be collected by different sources. The main distinction is between observations and climate models.

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Observations

They provide information on the past and current climate. There are many types of observations, both direct (such as traditional observation stations on land) and indirect (used to investigate the climate back in centuries, for instance looking at tree rings or ice-cores).

Climate models

They are representations of the climate system based on different properties, components and their interaction. In addition to past records, climate models are also able to provide forecasts and projections for the future.
Weather records for the present are quite complete thanks to the abundance of observation methods. However, these observations are not evenly distributed around the world and are fewer and fewer for the past. This is why climate re-analyses are of added value as they combine observations made in the past with today’s weather models to deliver a complete and consistent picture of the past weather as close to reality as possible. Models are important tools for improving our understanding and predictability of climate behaviour on different time scales. Different kinds of climate models provide climate information for different time horizons. Timescales are key for understanding climate services:

Long-term projections are covered by global climate models (GCMs) and regional climate models RCM. GCMs usually used calculation grids models that cover the entire planet with a typical horizontal resolution of around 200 km. They have evolved a lot and most recent GCM models (known as Earth system models) include not only atmospheric circulation models, atmospheric-oceanic general circulation models, but also biogeochemical interactions. Regional Climate Models (RCMs) have smaller domains and only covers a portion of the planet. By focusing on a limited area of the globe, they can achieve a finer horizonal resolution (45 km or less).

Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S)

Copernicus is the EU’s Earth Observation Program. It collects data from multiple sources through a complex set of systems and provides users with a set of services that offer climate-related information. C3S provides authoritative information about the past, present and future climate, as well as tools to enable climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies by policy makers and businesses. It provides climate data and information on impacts on a range of topics and sectorial areas through a Climate Data Store (CDS), designed to enable users to tailor services to more specific needs (public or commercial). Copernicus provides the following main products and services:

Summary

Climate services are defined as the transformation of climate-related data into customized user-friendly products or services (such as projections, trends, risk assessments) that help individuals, communities and organization make better decisions.
Climate data can be collected by different sources (such as observations, climate models, re-analysis) and cover different timelines, from past climate (more than 30 years ago) until future climate (multidecadal projections).
Copernicus is the EU’s Earth Observation program, providing authoritative information about climate, as well as a series of tools and services to enable mitigation and adaptation strategies by policy makers and businesses.

Reflection

  1. What is the difference between climate information and climate services?
  2. How observations and climate models are used and which timescale do they cover?
  3. What are the main services and tools about climate provided by Copernicus?

The climate story of Gdynia​

During an extreme rainfall event, Jan watches in fear as water rises dangerously close to flooding his apartment. His experience highlights the urgent need for climate adaptation in Gdynia, inspiring the community to take action and build a more resilient future together.