Thermal Assessment Tool

Figure 11: Panel that shows the historical heatwaves of a specific region (e.g. Logroño) Source: Tecnalia

Tool description

Climate change is leading to an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwave events across the globe.

The Thermal Assessment Tool provides a user-friendly means of visualizing past, present, and future extreme heatwave events in European regions and cities. It allows a user-friendly means of understanding heatwaves characteristics (maximum temperature, duration, intensity) over the last 42 years (1981-2022) and how these specific characteristics of heat waves will evolve in the coming decades. Additionally, the tool provides high-resolution (30m) land surface temperature (LST) map as way to characterize the heat phenomena evolution at city level based on remote sensing observations from Landsat 8 (2013-2023).

Complexity

Complexity explanation

It offers a easy-to-use interface to visualise complex climate data regarding the impact of extreme heat events. An online version of Thermal Assessment Tool is freely available to visualize past and future heatwave plots in REACHOUT cities and a similar approach can be used for ohter cities.

City Hub experiences

  • Logroño has used the tool to plan future city interventions and as an input for the SECAP. Logroño included the outcomes of the tool in their climate story to rise awareness on citizens about heatwaves impacts which are becoming more frequent and intense in the city.
  • Milano was interested in regional perspective of the tool outcomes and prevision for the future as well for planning for energy community. Milano integrated the Land Surface temperature maps to generate heat risk maps considering social vulnerability indicators. Milano climate story visualizes future extreme heat events impacts.
  • Athens was interested on heatwaves projections and heatmaps to determine those areas of higher surface heat concentration. The   climate story  of Athens also integrated the outcomes of this tool to better visualize heat impacts.

Benefits of using the tool

The tool allows end-users and decision makers to easily visualize how extreme heat events are at city level and it also projects how long, intense and frequency will be the heatwaves in the coming decades considering the intermediate (RCP4.5) and very high (RCP8.5) emissions scenarios. This rise awareness on citizens and support governments to prepare and protect the city through effective policy making.

Cost/effort for implementation

Tecnalia offers the option to use the tool for other regions with two options:

  1. Following the same methodological approach and heatwave model. The estimated effort is 7 person-days (2 days to generate the new datasets at regional/municipality level + 3 days to integrate the data in the tool + 2 days for validation meetings with the region).
  2. Implement a new heatwave model with different thresholds, indicators or risk levels. The work effort is estimated in 21 person-days, considering the above-mentioned effort + the update of the implementation module. The tool can be tailored by Tecnalia considering different regional or local requirements.

Triple-A phases

The tool can be used in the following Triple-A phase:

  • Analysis phase: by supporting cities to identify heat related risks. The tool incorporates future climate scenarios to help cities understand how different levels of climate change (e.g., moderate vs. high emissions) could impact their urban systems. It can also assess the land surface temperature during the day which can be an input to the urban heat island effect.

Guidance

Link to the tool 

Link to the user manual  

Contact

Nieves Peña Cerezo
tat@tecnalia.com
Climate Change Adaptation area, TECNALIA

Complementary tools

The Thermal Assessment Tool works specially well in combination with the Social Vulnerability tool to assess and visualize the risk considering heat hazard and heat related social vulnerability.

It also works well in combiantaton with pluvial risk assessment tool to analyse combined hazards. The heatmaps can also be integratef into the CRCTool to support effective locations for interventions.

The climate story of Gdynia​

During an extreme rainfall event, Jan watches in fear as water rises dangerously close to flooding his apartment. His experience highlights the urgent need for climate adaptation in Gdynia, inspiring the community to take action and build a more resilient future together.